Intelligence Memorandum: Status of the nonproliferation treaty negotiations

SUMMARY:

This intelligence memorandum, dated February 28, 1967, provides an overview of the status of the Nonproliferation Treaty (NPT) negotiations. The document highlights the difficulties faced in reaching an agreement on a treaty to curb the spread of nuclear weapons.

The Eighteen Nation Disarmament Committee (ENDC) is engaged in a general debate while awaiting the submission of the draft NPT by the co-chairmen, the USSR and the US. The Soviets initially refused to submit the draft due to an incomplete agreed-upon text, but they later expressed willingness to submit it after consulting with their allies.

The memorandum discusses the opposition and reservations of various countries, including Germany, Italy, Japan, and India. These nations have concerns about the treaty's impact on their scientific advancements, access to nuclear weapons, security, and perceived discriminatory provisions.

Within the Western alliance, opposition grows to acceptance of International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) safeguards as part of the draft treaty, particularly among EURATOM countries. France objects to IAEA-EURATOM safeguards within the EURATOM area, while Germany and Italy seek binding interpretations of treaty provisions.

The document highlights the potential internal political challenges faced by Chancellor Kiesinger in Germany and the negative sentiment within Italy, which could jeopardize the grand coalition government.

Overall, the memorandum emphasizes the complex and contentious nature of the NPT negotiations, with opposition arising from both within and outside the Western alliance. It suggests that concessions and specific programs addressing the concerns of nations are necessary to achieve an agreement, but acknowledges that the process may be protracted and sensitive.